Thick Line Lu

In part one, Eli showed why Qing Bin Lu's predictions of the coming freeze were cold wrong simply because Lu did not account for compensating increases in HFCs when CFCs declined.  Moreover, even cursory examination of the forcings shows that increases in CO2 forcing swamps the pre 1990 increases in CFC forcings.  There are a lot more moreovers, but let Eli save them for another day .  Here the Rabett starts on the curious case of the cosmic rays and fat lines.

Many years ago, the Weasel demonstrated to Eli the use of lines and arrows.  Hilarity ensued.  Curiously it was also in support of solar effects flim flam, Theodore Landscheidt, published an amazing paper, but it turned out that the arrows, pointing to predictions pointed to just about anything.

Let Eli start with QBs showing his CRE model fits the October ozone column in the Antarctic.  This is a key piece in his argument that the ozone hole is caused by dissociative electron ionization of CFCs on polar stratospheric clouds

Bunnies, look at the right hand left paw side of the figure.  QB even blows this up in Figure 5

The sinusoidal variation comes from the 11 year solar cycle.  The peaks correspond to high cosmic ray periods.  Now Eli is a clever bunny, and he went out and borrowed Pat Michaels eraser (don't tell Pat)

The first cycle disappears!  Shades of Luedecke.  It was bad enough to start with, the entire argument was based on only two cycles, but now?  Similar fat lines play large roles throughout Lu"s (can Eli borrow this from Willard Tony?) game changing paper.  Here is another example

The green line and the arrow are, as Roy would say, strictly for amusement.  The arrow is roughly Pinatubo.  Lu's version, of course, is that the temperature change was caused by CFCs.  Strictly for amusement mind you.