Well to start, it sure looks like the Arctic sea ice anomaly is about where it was this September according to Cryosphere Today
and if Eli goes to the IJIS sea ice extent, this winter's ice is pretty small, like record or close to it
but then you look at the AMSR2 maps from Uni Bremen and well, nothing in the Bering Sea, and the Greenland Sea and Barents Sea are relatively empty but the Gulf of St. Lawrence is nailed shut.
and PIOMASS is up considerably up as is thickness.
Place your bets.