His thoughts tumbled in his head, making and breaking alliances like underpants in a dryer without Cling Free
Some people like really bad analogies, others like to create them. Now some, not Eli to be sure, think that Roger Pielke Jr. must be the monarch of bad analogies. Eli has pointed out that the analogy police have an all puns bulletin out for him. The Honest Broker has it all (wrong) because Roger doesn't have a clue about what a broker really does. To repeat myself (which
Eli does very well), Roger's naive injection (let's be nice) of the
"honest broker" into climate science policy studies has pushed
discussion into a fruitless direction. As with many such things, reality
shows how hollow this is. IEHO looking at what brokers do in the real
world better illuminates the issue.
Brokers do not expand the scope of choices available to clients, they narrow them. Brokers make markets. Brokers make a living by matching buyers to sellers and taking a commission (You thought they do it for free? What carrot wagon you fall off of bunny?). Ethical brokers will go out on the market seeking product suited to clients and will seek clients suited to products available to them. Ethical brokers have mutual obligations to sellers and buyers, to qualify the buyers and vet the sellers, not to sell every piece of nuclear waste to every rube with a cell phone.
However, you knew there was going to be one of those, didn't you bunnies, Roger is feeling the competition. His new one is even better. Consider, he said he considered, what the best analogy would be for real economic innovation. What would Roger do. Well try:
Now some, not Eli to be sure, would go on for hours about this, much amusement could be had, but the real problem is that this is NOT the worst analogy out there. That honor belongs to a real Heartland Institute Expert Rael Jean Isaac’s and her “Roosters of the Apocalypse”.
Isaac, who is basically the Girl from Likud has to earn a living. She builds Roosters of the Apocalypse around the deadly delusions of the Xhosa. In 1856, a young girl had a vision
She claimed that the spirits had told her that the Xhosa people should destroy their crops and kill their cattle, the source of their wealth as well as food. In return the spirits would sweep the British settlers into the sea. The Xhosa would be able to replenish the granaries, and fill the kraals with more beautiful and healthier cattle. . . .Anyone with historical vision, recognizes this as millenialism run wild. A vision, taken seriously resulting in disaster. In more current terms, a cargo cult
Mhlakaza repeated the prophecy to Paramount Chief Sarhili. Sarhili ordered his followers to obey the prophecy, causing the cattle-killing movement to spread to an unstoppable point. The cattle-killing frenzy affected not only the Gcaleka, Sarhili's clan, but the whole of the Xhosa nation. Historians estimate that the Gcaleka killed between 300,000 and 400,000 head of cattle.
Nongqawuse predicted that the ancestors' promise would be fulfilled on February 18, 1857, when the sun would turn red. On that day the sun rose the same colour as every other day, and the prophecy was not realised. . . .
In the aftermath of the crisis, the population of British Kaffraria dropped from 105,000 to fewer than 27,000 due to the resulting famine.
A cargo cult is a religious practice that has appeared in many traditional pre-industrial tribal societies in the wake of interaction with technologically advanced cultures. The cults focus on obtaining the material wealth (the "cargo") of the advanced culture through magic and religious rituals and practices. Cult members believe that the wealth was intended for them by their deities and ancestors.the basis of which was well summed up by Arthur C. Clarke who pointed out that any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic. The irony here, is that Isaac has not a clue about science, therefore to her science is a magic, and belief in magic is optional, and may be fatal and climate scientists are delusional. She really belongs on a Pacific Atoll. Say for the next 50 to 100 years.