Saturday, August 30, 2008

Worry

Hurricane Gustav has already torn up many islands in the Caribbean. It's path is going to take it over water with very high hurricane intensification potential. Worry


10 comments:

Dano said...

Yup.

Better is the ensemble package that shows a more likely westward track, which takes it over a plume of very warm water. The potential here is not good for where it makes landfall, as it is carrying a lot of water and power.

Let us emit positive karma into the multiverse for a more westward track to take NOLA out of the RFQ danger, and let us also emit positive karma into the multiverse for a new federal administration who can speed up disaster recovery down there.

Best,

D

S Molnar said...

The gist is right, but your hurricane intensification potential map is from last year. This year's is a bit less favorable (from the viewpoint of the hurricane).

S Molnar said...

Whoops, forgot to provide the correct link.

EliRabett said...

Eeeps. Corrected. Thank you S.

Gareth said...

I find Jeff Masters most useful at this time of year.

Not that it's coming anywhere near me, of course... but there is a certain morbid fascination in watching big weather events unfold.

CapitalClimate said...

As the latest track has shown, Gustav has now passed the zone of maximum heat potential. For that and a couple of other reasons, Gustav may have already peaked. The track is also trending a little more to the west, so NOLA may be spared the worst. A Cat 3 storm is still a serious matter, however.

With all the focus on the Gulf, East Coasters should still keep an eye on Hanna.

Hank Roberts said...

http://www.nola.com/bourbocam/

CapitalClimate said...

This ain't The Big One, although watch for politicians to spin it otherwise.

EliRabett said...

At least not for NO, but it tore up the Caribbean (esp Cuba) pretty good. Anyhow we can be thankful it weakened before it hit the Gulf Coast.

cjv said...

And here I was thinking you told us to worry.