Hurricane Gustav has already torn up many islands in the Caribbean. It's path is going to take it over water with very high hurricane intensification potential. Worry
Better is the ensemble package that shows a more likely westward track, which takes it over a plume of very warm water. The potential here is not good for where it makes landfall, as it is carrying a lot of water and power.
Let us emit positive karma into the multiverse for a more westward track to take NOLA out of the RFQ danger, and let us also emit positive karma into the multiverse for a new federal administration who can speed up disaster recovery down there.
The gist is right, but your hurricane intensification potential map is from last year. This year's is a bit less favorable (from the viewpoint of the hurricane).
As the latest track has shown, Gustav has now passed the zone of maximum heat potential. For that and a couple of other reasons, Gustav may have already peaked. The track is also trending a little more to the west, so NOLA may be spared the worst. A Cat 3 storm is still a serious matter, however.
With all the focus on the Gulf, East Coasters should still keep an eye on Hanna.
Eli Rabett, a not quite failed professorial techno-bunny who finally handed in the keys and retired from his wanna be research university. The students continue to be naive but great people and the administrators continue to vary day-to-day between homicidal and delusional without Eli's help. Eli notices from recent political developments that this behavior is not limited to administrators. His colleagues retain their curious inability to see the holes that they dig for themselves. Prof. Rabett is thankful that they, or at least some of them occasionally heeded his pointing out the implications of the various enthusiasms that rattle around the department and school. Ms. Rabett is thankful that Prof. Rabett occasionally heeds her pointing out that he is nuts.
10 comments:
Yup.
Better is the ensemble package that shows a more likely westward track, which takes it over a plume of very warm water. The potential here is not good for where it makes landfall, as it is carrying a lot of water and power.
Let us emit positive karma into the multiverse for a more westward track to take NOLA out of the RFQ danger, and let us also emit positive karma into the multiverse for a new federal administration who can speed up disaster recovery down there.
Best,
D
The gist is right, but your hurricane intensification potential map is from last year. This year's is a bit less favorable (from the viewpoint of the hurricane).
Whoops, forgot to provide the correct link.
Eeeps. Corrected. Thank you S.
I find Jeff Masters most useful at this time of year.
Not that it's coming anywhere near me, of course... but there is a certain morbid fascination in watching big weather events unfold.
As the latest track has shown, Gustav has now passed the zone of maximum heat potential. For that and a couple of other reasons, Gustav may have already peaked. The track is also trending a little more to the west, so NOLA may be spared the worst. A Cat 3 storm is still a serious matter, however.
With all the focus on the Gulf, East Coasters should still keep an eye on Hanna.
http://www.nola.com/bourbocam/
This ain't The Big One, although watch for politicians to spin it otherwise.
At least not for NO, but it tore up the Caribbean (esp Cuba) pretty good. Anyhow we can be thankful it weakened before it hit the Gulf Coast.
And here I was thinking you told us to worry.
Post a Comment