More from Coursera, Week 3:
In the ensemble
average, mean annual runoff decreases in a 2°C world by around
30, 20, 40, and 20 percent in the Danube, Mississippi, Amazon,
and Murray Darling river basins, respectively, while it increases
by around 20 percent in both the Nile and the Ganges basins,
compared to the 1961–190 baseline period. Thus, according to
Fung et al. (2011), all these changes are approximately doubled
in magnitude in a 4°C world.
Yikes. Now I see a reason for
the lack of snark-hiding.
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2 comments:
And you would have confidence in an unverified model because...???
The models are uniformly more verifiable and verified than denialists. The application of this principle is left as an exercise for the reader.
Brian, that would be a different Fung, although I'm sure Inez would agree.
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