Uh-oh! Gentlebunnies, we are witnessing the beginning of Beaufortgate. Any second now McIntyre is going to investigate the use of the upside-down Beaufort Sea to cast doubt on the sea ice anomalies.
Apart from that, I'm with carrot-eating cockroach.
Well, keep in mind that Watts clarified, to let us know we were only metaphorical cockroaches. That was helpful, to know that Watts doesn't think we literally crawl around on 6 legs.
The picture is pretty and all, but does it really matter? This is like all those who follow the NSDIC curve looking for every squiggly deviation from a very smooth line.
Did not almost all the ice experts just last month predict that this year's extent would be larger than last year's?
Dinna forget young William changed the scale a while back. Still, those terra and Aquis pictures showing so much of the pack as chopped up ice do look a little scary, 'cept when I mistakes the cloud for good ice.
Scaredy Mouse says to run some 30-day movies. The ice circulation changed in early July and is no longer shedding as quickly out of Fram Strait; but it's being pushed into the Beaufort Sea which is relatively far south. The ice seems to be drifting way too fast. At any rate, I expect to see wildly changing values for ice extent, which probably says more about Arctic ice conditions than total extent.
Obviously the good professor is experiencing a late period change of life. The image is indeed that of a mutant fluorescent (playboy) bunny.
Proper response: “Yes sir - you’re still cool, or you would have been until the Archy reference.” (My dad was an A&M fan…I never got it)
Or:
Goddard and Watts have made us Archies look at CT way too many times to check on reality and the color choices there have taken a heavy toll on the perceptions of Professor.
Possible response: “Hey look: If you stand back and cross your eyes slightly you can see 2 whales, a dolphin and a panda playing poker in 3D!”
Or:
“Jack” is an insider’s reference to the honorable Dr. “Jack” Rorschach, and this was a sneaky little professorly test.
Totally and completely off topic, but could someone who understands atmospheric physics please, please, please look at this space.com article on collapse of the thermosphere and shine some light into the dark cave of ignorance that is the comments? http://www.space.com/scienceastronomy/puzzling-collapse-earth-atmosphere-100715.html#comments Should I cross post to RC? Can someone just drop someone an email? I know about 50% of what I'd need to comment in that thread, but I'm a bloody cultural anthropologist/tech writer.
what particular question would you like to know more about? taking a glance, it looks as if people are confused how CO2 can cause cooling in the upper reaches of the atmosphere. If that's what you need more about, well.. stratospheric cooling due to CO2 is a subtle thing, and not terribly easy to explain in a way that's both essentially correct and simple. Many have tried.. Eli has, somewhere round here. This site is sort of a stand-by. http://www.atmosphere.mpg.de/enid/20c.html
I must admit I never thought of it in the thermosphere before this week.
Hi AQ, The thermosphere is about 100km and up. It is "supported" by energy from particle collisions and really energetic UV from the sun. If this stuff is low, as it is in a solar minimum, the thermosphere cools and contracts, but this time it went to zilch. Details at 11 (google thermosphere collapse and look for reputable links (NASA, etc.)
Thanks for the suggestions. I actually got off my butt and went through RC archives until I found that enid page that carrot eater kindly suggested, and I posted that to space.com. Eli, I've looked at the NASA site and the issue is that the collapse of the thermosphere seems to be greater than what would be expected from the solar minimum, or even the solar minimum + CO2.
RC archives? Why should it be in there? Actually be careful, as RC has an ill-fated attempt at explaining stratospheric cooling. They did put a note at the top, saying it's not any good.
Right, the scientific issue is that the magnitude of the collapse is unexpected and as of yet inexplicable. So somebody somewhere has gotten to work, trying to figure it out. Rome wasn't built in a day.
UPDATE: The spambots got clever so the verification is back. Apologies
Some of the regulars here are having trouble telling the anonymice apart. Please add some distinguishing name to your comment such as Mickey, Minnie, Mighty, or Fred.
Eli, this is most disturbing. Please put the image the right way up.
ReplyDeleteRichard C
In extent and concentration, there isn't anything unusual (by the bar of the last few years) to see here. But I like the pretty colors.
ReplyDeleteI don't get it.
ReplyDeleteHoratio was under the impression that Global Warming was a Bourbon Myth.
ReplyDeleteBut Jack prolly works just dandy, too.
Can't say I'm convinced we're alright to be honest.
ReplyDeletehttp://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LjaVp6AS5XU
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LjaVp6AS5XU
Uh-oh! Gentlebunnies, we are witnessing the beginning of Beaufortgate. Any second now McIntyre is going to investigate the use of the upside-down Beaufort Sea to cast doubt on the sea ice anomalies.
ReplyDeleteApart from that, I'm with carrot-eating cockroach.
Just so there's no confusion, the carrot-eating cockroach is me.
ReplyDeleteAnd not because I've recently read die Verwandlung.
Eli always knew you had a lot of Archy in you kid.
ReplyDeleteWell, keep in mind that Watts clarified, to let us know we were only metaphorical cockroaches. That was helpful, to know that Watts doesn't think we literally crawl around on 6 legs.
ReplyDeletehmm, blogger must have rejected my faux tags.
ReplyDeleteAnyway, I had no idea what was Archy, but wikipedia led me to this gem
http://www.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/full/317/5838/571
archy and mehitabel
ReplyDeleteRoach56
The picture is pretty and all, but does it really matter? This is like all those who follow the NSDIC curve looking for every squiggly deviation from a very smooth line.
ReplyDeleteDid not almost all the ice experts just last month predict that this year's extent would be larger than last year's?
I still don't understand why I'm supposed to be looking at the pretty picture. I do like the tilt though, reminiscent of .. was it Nils-Axel Moerner?
ReplyDeleteIt looks like a bunny!
ReplyDeleteTom W.
Dinna forget young William changed the scale a while back. Still, those terra and Aquis pictures showing so much of the pack as chopped up ice do look a little scary, 'cept when I mistakes the cloud for good ice.
ReplyDeleteLittle Mouse
what sort of mutant fluorescent bunnies do you guys hang out with
ReplyDeleteScaredy Mouse says to run some 30-day movies. The ice circulation changed in early July and is no longer shedding as quickly out of Fram Strait; but it's being pushed into the Beaufort Sea which is relatively far south. The ice seems to be drifting way too fast. At any rate, I expect to see wildly changing values for ice extent, which probably says more about Arctic ice conditions than total extent.
ReplyDeleteIn particular, this from archy is, IMHO, worth a read.
ReplyDeletehttp://www.donmarquis.com/readingroom/archybooks/ants.html
(word preview before edit was beetl)
Obviously the good professor is experiencing a late period change of life. The image is indeed that of a mutant fluorescent (playboy) bunny.
ReplyDeleteProper response: “Yes sir - you’re still cool, or you would have been until the Archy reference.” (My dad was an A&M fan…I never got it)
Or:
Goddard and Watts have made us Archies look at CT way too many times to check on reality and the color choices there have taken a heavy toll on the perceptions of Professor.
Possible response: “Hey look: If you stand back and cross your eyes slightly you can see 2 whales, a dolphin and a panda playing poker in 3D!”
Or:
“Jack” is an insider’s reference to the honorable Dr. “Jack” Rorschach, and this was a sneaky little professorly test.
Appropriate response: “Oops, I failed”
arch stanton
(using ski slope classification - Rabettology, black diamond)
ReplyDeleteGood lord, does Eli have to lead you by the link all the time.
ReplyDeleteThe Jack is most definitely working.
ReplyDeleteAnther couple shots and it will be a piranha
I thought sea ice was white.
ReplyDeleteRichard C
I still think it looks more like the Playboy bunny (head) than a prawn. Just MHO.
ReplyDeleteRabett Run: where obscurity is a feature, not a bug.
ReplyDeleteHey, even obscurity isn't all it's cracked up to be. OTOH, it ain't a bad hog's head, if you like hog's heads.
ReplyDeleteRabett Run: where Bugs is a feature, not an obscurity.
ReplyDeleteTotally and completely off topic, but could someone who understands atmospheric physics please, please, please look at this space.com article on collapse of the thermosphere and shine some light into the dark cave of ignorance that is the comments? http://www.space.com/scienceastronomy/puzzling-collapse-earth-atmosphere-100715.html#comments
ReplyDeleteShould I cross post to RC? Can someone just drop someone an email? I know about 50% of what I'd need to comment in that thread, but I'm a bloody cultural anthropologist/tech writer.
antiquated:
ReplyDeletewhat particular question would you like to know more about? taking a glance, it looks as if people are confused how CO2 can cause cooling in the upper reaches of the atmosphere. If that's what you need more about, well.. stratospheric cooling due to CO2 is a subtle thing, and not terribly easy to explain in a way that's both essentially correct and simple. Many have tried.. Eli has, somewhere round here. This site is sort of a stand-by. http://www.atmosphere.mpg.de/enid/20c.html
I must admit I never thought of it in the thermosphere before this week.
Hi AQ, The thermosphere is about 100km and up. It is "supported" by energy from particle collisions and really energetic UV from the sun. If this stuff is low, as it is in a solar minimum, the thermosphere cools and contracts, but this time it went to zilch. Details at 11 (google thermosphere collapse and look for reputable links (NASA, etc.)
ReplyDeleteIn case anyone wanted an example of what a nasty, petty little man Steve McIntyre is click on the link.
ReplyDeleteThe guy is a first class bastard who personalizes every slight he receives. What a wanker.
Rattus - wrt McIntyre, you left out "with delusions of competence", a quality Schneider quite rightly seems to have been very aware of.
ReplyDeleteI'm curious: which source code that is publicly available has McI audited? The availability of code seems to be important to him.
ReplyDeletehttp://www.elfwood.com/~stephie/Red-Winged-Rabbit.3254844.html
ReplyDeleteLittle Mouse
Thanks for the suggestions. I actually got off my butt and went through RC archives until I found that enid page that carrot eater kindly suggested, and I posted that to space.com.
ReplyDeleteEli, I've looked at the NASA site and the issue is that the collapse of the thermosphere seems to be greater than what would be expected from the solar minimum, or even the solar minimum + CO2.
Tory:
ReplyDeleteRC archives? Why should it be in there? Actually be careful, as RC has an ill-fated attempt at explaining stratospheric cooling. They did put a note at the top, saying it's not any good.
Right, the scientific issue is that the magnitude of the collapse is unexpected and as of yet inexplicable. So somebody somewhere has gotten to work, trying to figure it out. Rome wasn't built in a day.