tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16612221.post9212481713044807367..comments2024-03-19T03:14:04.172-04:00Comments on Rabett Run: Physics Follies Strike Again!EliRabetthttp://www.blogger.com/profile/07957002964638398767noreply@blogger.comBlogger12125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16612221.post-76301954341861492902012-10-22T13:22:06.057-04:002012-10-22T13:22:06.057-04:00You mean the Bunny can get a design patent! Wooee...You mean the Bunny can get a design patent! WooeeEliRabetthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07957002964638398767noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16612221.post-76644214119953243052012-10-22T00:17:40.068-04:002012-10-22T00:17:40.068-04:00Eli:
Sony water cooler: no.
Eli:<br />Sony water cooler: no.<br /><br />John Masheynoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16612221.post-84052052286036330052012-10-21T17:44:29.029-04:002012-10-21T17:44:29.029-04:00John, if the usual suspects spielsmanship looks sh...John, if the usual suspects spielsmanship looks sharp. it's because of constant honing by K-Street- both sides in the climate wars are seconded by PR pros with full mastery of focus group techniques and how to apply them.THE CLIMATE WARShttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02578106673226403151noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16612221.post-8420150445886241022012-10-20T20:44:03.048-04:002012-10-20T20:44:03.048-04:00John M. was that a Sony water cooler perchance.
J...John M. was that a Sony water cooler perchance.<br /><br />John F. true, you need a scorecard to name the players. EliRabetthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07957002964638398767noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16612221.post-40435082720727863532012-10-20T20:27:22.929-04:002012-10-20T20:27:22.929-04:00It seems that the alert bunnies have spotted an ov...It seems that the alert bunnies have spotted an oversight, by me. I glanced at the cv of Shaviv, and noticed a lot of astrophysics publications and a couple about cosmic rays and climate. I confess that I didn't read them, not even abstracts. Does Shaviv maintain that the cosmic ray flux has been fairly constant for the last 10,000 years, and has increased substantially in the last few decades??<br />What I *meant* to say is that the deniers had not "rounded up the usual suspects"- Fred Singer, Steve Malloy, Anthony Watts, Patrick Michaels, John Christy, Roy Spencer - to make the case that the world is not getting warmer, and CO2 is not causing it. When faced with a non-scientist audience, these gentlemen can tell a tale that looks good from the outside. But faced with an expert audience, it's a different story. <br /><br />Dr. Shaviv may get an interesting reception. Johnhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09575837647825433144noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16612221.post-9419752198288876442012-10-20T14:06:15.361-04:002012-10-20T14:06:15.361-04:00Mermaids: one never knows.
A few of us were with s...Mermaids: one never knows.<br />A few of us were with some Japanese associates who worked at a big electronics firm at their HQ in Tokyo. They had a new product they were soon to introduce to US market . They asked what we thought and said it would be called "Office Mermaid."<br />We looked at each other and politely observed that they might possibly want to do some more market research, as that might be difficult.<br /><br />John Masheynoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16612221.post-47662959654171509122012-10-20T13:52:17.720-04:002012-10-20T13:52:17.720-04:00John, it's the price you pay for no captcha, w...John, it's the price you pay for no captcha, with 1-200 ads for sex or pharmaceuticals and sex and pharma in the spam bucket, it gets tipped over the side without looking for the mermaids. One of these days Eli will draw up a league table.EliRabetthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07957002964638398767noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16612221.post-14635344537947669802012-10-20T13:40:40.419-04:002012-10-20T13:40:40.419-04:00Shaviv does seem to be making a slow realignment t...Shaviv does seem to be making a slow realignment towards a more rational and scientifically-justified approach to physical analysis in climate-related science.<br /><br />e.g. After insisting not so long ago that there was no evidence for anthropogenic contributions to 20th century warming and that the solar contribution dominates (around 0.5 oC worth)....<br /><br />...he concludes in his most recent <a href="http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0273117711007411" rel="nofollow">analysis</a> that actually there <i>is</i> an anthropogenic component and that <i>it</i> is the largest contributor to 20th century warming (0.42 oC +/-). He continues to oversell the solar contribution (0.27 oC +/-), but at least he's using his rather numerological approaches with some degree of grounding in empirical realities.<br /><br />Perhaps he's getting embarrassed by the associates that quite like some of his earlier papers in this area. For example, Shaviv's highly flawed 2008 paper on using ocean heat as a "calorimeter" to assess solar contributions has been cited only by Shaviv himself, Nicola Scafetta and Willie Soon in addition to one other rather mainstream citation. That's possibly a little embarrassing if one is attempting to maintain a reputation as a proper scientist with a disinterested approach to scientific evidence....chrishttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00368677638818373162noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16612221.post-73922874627317413612012-10-20T10:08:04.519-04:002012-10-20T10:08:04.519-04:00Experts in cosmic rays and climate should show up ...Experts in cosmic rays and climate should show up and demonstrate that Shaviv is incompetent on the forcing influences on climate, and gullible (posted on WTFUWT about solar influence on radioactive decay rates). Einstein he ain't.<br /><br />Rib Smokin' bunnyAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16612221.post-5808515157674538032012-10-19T23:32:10.473-04:002012-10-19T23:32:10.473-04:00Hmm I must have lost a post.
Shaving has spoken at...Hmm I must have lost a post.<br />Shaving has spoken at 2 Heartland conferences, is still a Heartlland expert.John Masheynoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16612221.post-16294932638434136902012-10-19T18:31:29.864-04:002012-10-19T18:31:29.864-04:00"Shaviv is an astrophysicist who can assess t..."Shaviv is an astrophysicist who can assess the purported linkage between cosmic rays and climate. Most noteworthy is that the fringe handful who deny that the humanity is changing the climate are not included."<br /><br />JPF is quite right. Shaviv is the token loon. It's still sort-of defensible (not wholly unrespectable, anyway) to speak in terms of a minor climate role for cosmic rays, but Shaviv insists against the evidence not only that it must be the major factor but that it's CO2 that's minor.<br /><br />Also, John, on that first sentence, how can someone who lacks expertise in the latter credibly make such an assessment? Steve Bloomhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12943109973917998380noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16612221.post-32451472897682634162012-10-19T18:24:35.843-04:002012-10-19T18:24:35.843-04:00The deniers will not feel excluded with the presen...The deniers will not feel excluded with the presence of Nir Shaviv on the list of speakers. He has hitched his wagon to the cosmic ray express.<br /><br />JPFAnonymousnoreply@blogger.com