tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16612221.post3409423345194376238..comments2024-03-19T03:14:04.172-04:00Comments on Rabett Run: The Crapshooters DanceEliRabetthttp://www.blogger.com/profile/07957002964638398767noreply@blogger.comBlogger7125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16612221.post-16624835085398887342011-08-25T12:08:13.812-04:002011-08-25T12:08:13.812-04:00Crap shooters OR crap slingers?
http://www.2camel...Crap shooters OR crap slingers?<br /><br />http://www.2camels.com/world-cow-chip-throwing-contest.php<br /><br />John PumaJohnhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12479974040070719985noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16612221.post-84817628031763557492011-08-24T13:37:24.164-04:002011-08-24T13:37:24.164-04:00I will point out that I raised the question of whe...I will point out that I raised the question of whether Roger used the lower limit or the center of the range: (at http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=9959776&postID=2850025249697796529)<br /><br />"1) "very likely" should be 90 to 99% - or, on average, about 94.5% - does Roger assign it 94.5% or (as somehow I suspect is more likely), 90%?"<br /><br />JA has also speculated that Roger has inverted the unlikely probabilities, such that the IPCC only gets dinged if a very unlikely event actually happens - if so, Roger was very unclear about it.<br /><br />Finally, I'm still amused by Roger's statement that "The IPCC SRES went to some length to explain that its scenarios were considered equal probability," when, in fact, the IPCC went out of their way to note that the scenarios were _not_ equal probability. I don't expect Roger to get statistics right (eg, Megan the undergrad), but to claim that the IPCC "went to some length" to do something that was the opposite of what it actually did is taking confusion to new lengths...<br /><br />-MAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16612221.post-76551587487003733742011-08-24T09:30:29.529-04:002011-08-24T09:30:29.529-04:00Has Pielke read Tristram Shandy? Sterne beat Carro...Has Pielke read Tristram Shandy? Sterne beat Carroll to the punch in his comedy about logic and language. Fittingly -- and almost presciently -- one of the high points comes in a discussion of a white bear.<br /><br />**********<br />A White Bear! Very well. Have I ever seen one? Might I ever have seen<br />one? Am I ever to see one? Ought I ever to have seen one? Or can I ever see one?<br /><br />Would I had seen a white bear! (for how can I imagine it?)<br /><br />If I should see a white bear, what should I say? If I should never see a white bear, what then?<br /><br />If I never have, can, must, or shall see a white bear alive; have I ever seen the skin of one? Did I ever see one painted?--described? Have I never dreamed of one?<br /><br />Did my father, mother, uncle, aunt, brothers or sisters, ever see a<br />white bear? What would they give? How would they behave? How would the white bear have behaved? Is he wild? Tame? Terrible? Rough? Smooth?<br /><br />--Is the white bear worth seeing?--<br /><br />--Is there no sin in it?--<br /><br />Is it better than a Black One?<br /><br />************<br /><br />And since that merges with our previous discussions about Charles Monnett, I'll retire on Sterne's glory.<br /><br />Jeffrey DavisAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16612221.post-62329559706853173332011-08-24T08:09:59.677-04:002011-08-24T08:09:59.677-04:00No need to hunt for it here.No need to hunt for it here.badger badger badgerhttp://badgerbadgerbadger.com/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16612221.post-75962407362517691132011-08-24T03:15:06.789-04:002011-08-24T03:15:06.789-04:00Actually, given the flurry of communications over ...Actually, given the flurry of communications over this ... misunderstanding, it seems to me that he should be nominated for the White Queen and the Red Queen awards!<br /><br /><i>Cymraeg llygoden</i>Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16612221.post-73389450322535306502011-08-24T00:32:00.435-04:002011-08-24T00:32:00.435-04:00Update: Andy S has pointed out that it was actuall...Update: Andy S has pointed out that it was actually the <b>White Queen</b>. Full details at the snark mine:<br /><br />http://www.literature.org/authors/carroll-lewis/through-the-looking-glass/chapter-05.htmlSteve Scolnikhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11887989345192863494noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16612221.post-64937968143932698432011-08-23T22:13:05.367-04:002011-08-23T22:13:05.367-04:00Yes, RPJr is clearly trying for the Red Queen awar...Yes, RPJr is clearly trying for the <b>Red Queen</b> award.David B. Bensonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02917182411282836875noreply@blogger.com