tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16612221.post4629641547968080095..comments2024-03-19T03:14:04.172-04:00Comments on Rabett Run: Five-year average temps and a betting updateEliRabetthttp://www.blogger.com/profile/07957002964638398767noreply@blogger.comBlogger11125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16612221.post-25793167178849568102014-02-13T20:03:44.119-05:002014-02-13T20:03:44.119-05:00Fred seems to have a hard time with the "glob...Fred seems to have a hard time with the "global" part of global warming. Oh, well. I guess we'll have to settle for one out of two.Garhighwaynoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16612221.post-86577569471573977802014-02-13T13:51:35.823-05:002014-02-13T13:51:35.823-05:00"The results are illuminating, at least from ..."The results are illuminating, at least from my sceptical point-of-view."<br /><br />What are you skeptical of? The existence of a world outside central england?<br /><br />That's the only logic I can think of that would lead one to think that the CET record represents global temperatures: that central england is the world.<br /><br />Which is even sillier than the common US-based denialist belief that the US is the world.<br /><br />"Equal numbers of cooling and warming decades would suggest no trend either way."<br /><br />Well, it's dead simple to create artificial datasets where equal periods of increase and decrease exist yet a statistically positive trend also exists.<br /><br />You don't know much math or statistics, do you? Along with your lack of geographical knowledge, that is.<br />dhogazanoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16612221.post-22318535820365298182014-02-13T13:25:48.542-05:002014-02-13T13:25:48.542-05:00It is hard to argue with warmist's logic.
Her...It is hard to argue with warmist's logic.<br /><br />Here is a set of data from the Central England Temperature Record, analysed by successive decades.<br /><br />Central England Temperature record covers 34 decades, from the end of the first decade in 1679. A warming trend in any period would be indicated by a preponderance of warming decades. Conversely a cooling trend would show as a preponderance of cooling decades. Equal numbers of cooling and warming decades would suggest no trend either way.<br /><br />The results are illuminating, at least from my sceptical point-of-view.<br /><br />The first 22 decades, to 1889, show 10 warming and 12 cooling decades, randomly scattered, with negligible overall change.<br /><br />The next 6 decades to 1949 are all warming as temperatures climb out of the Little Ice Age, from about 9.1 to 9.6 degreesC.<br /><br />For the last 6 decades, to 2009, we are looking for the impact (or non-impact) of exponentially increasing CO2.<br /><br />There are 3 warming decades and 3 cooling decades.<br /><br />Now, admittedly, the temperature increases in the last two decades were significantly greater than any previous, taking the decadal averages above 10 degrees for the first time. The average temperature in the decade ending 2009 was 10.4 degrees C.<br /><br />Our worst floods were in 1947, and our worst blizzards in 1940.<br /><br />Fred Staplesnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16612221.post-55438705522623413342014-02-13T08:55:01.906-05:002014-02-13T08:55:01.906-05:00O yes, never forget. In 1988 the IPGW was erected ...O yes, never forget. In 1988 the IPGW was erected then during The Hiatus the name was changed to IPCC and they never told anyone!<br /><br />So now climate revisionists are drowning England. When will they pay up?cRR Kampenhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07571285063752477448noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16612221.post-45251614903798957962014-02-13T08:16:24.309-05:002014-02-13T08:16:24.309-05:00Fred, not only are you an idiot, you're a shil...Fred, not only are you an idiot, you're a shill. Get over yourself. Go find a warmer deeper hole to spew your nonsense. And I believe the proper term is 'warmista'. Didn't you get the memo?Thomas Lee Elifritzhttp://cosmic.lifeform.orgnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16612221.post-45195134367160933442014-02-13T05:36:58.282-05:002014-02-13T05:36:58.282-05:00Useful comment, Dhogaza. I suspect that you have a...Useful comment, Dhogaza. I suspect that you have adopted the subtle change in the warmist position from asserting "AGW" to discussing "Climate Change".<br /><br />I remain interested only in the impact (or otherwise) of industrial CO2 emmisions, as predicted by the warmist models. <br /><br />Thanks to China, India, and the USA, we are conducting a world-wide experiment to test the models against the temperature record. You can see the results in Roy Spencers chart.<br /><br />Never glad confident morning again, Dhogaza.<br /><br />Fred Staplesnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16612221.post-59717350676350599952014-02-12T16:33:55.428-05:002014-02-12T16:33:55.428-05:00"Actually, your data precisely identifies the..."Actually, your data precisely identifies the warmist case - an increase of about 0.4 degrees C between the eighties and the noughties. <br /><br />Before that, back to the previous peak in the forties, nothing."<br /><br />I know that some people think the earth is only about 6,000 years old but ... only 70 years old?<br /><br />Wow.<br /><br />(no, the "warmist case" is not based merely upon recent warming, though you are free to parade your ignorance in public to your heart's content, at least as far as I care)<br />dhogazanoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16612221.post-69457280507853499462014-02-12T14:30:06.946-05:002014-02-12T14:30:06.946-05:00Whatever you do, Eli, avoid doubling your bet ever...Whatever you do, Eli, avoid doubling your bet every year.<br /><br />Actually, your data precisely identifies the warmist case - an increase of about 0.4 degrees C between the eighties and the noughties. <br /><br />Before that, back to the previous peak in the forties, nothing.<br /><br />So what caused the increase? As a long time subscriber to your web-site I can fairly say that I have no idea. However, you would have to work very hard with the data to see any correlation with the steady increase in CO2 over the period.<br /><br />Fred Staplesnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16612221.post-8786105544226110232014-02-04T13:05:58.016-05:002014-02-04T13:05:58.016-05:00Gaz - yes. Best case scenario is I lose all my bet...Gaz - yes. Best case scenario is I lose all my bets over the 20 year time period.Brianhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09301230860904555513noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16612221.post-39680876202638937582014-02-03T22:20:56.899-05:002014-02-03T22:20:56.899-05:00"..I feel pretty good about the ultimate outc..."..I feel pretty good about the ultimate outcome."<br /><br />Except for the actual climate, of course.Gaznoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16612221.post-4437965226111328382014-02-01T14:56:49.545-05:002014-02-01T14:56:49.545-05:00We shall not weep for you, Eli, lest our tears aug...We shall not weep for you, Eli, lest our tears augment the thermal mass of the ocean.THE CLIMATE WARShttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02578106673226403151noreply@blogger.com