tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16612221.post3955813069938785447..comments2024-03-19T03:14:04.172-04:00Comments on Rabett Run: The Lancaster exceptionEliRabetthttp://www.blogger.com/profile/07957002964638398767noreply@blogger.comBlogger34125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16612221.post-76040707613034806792016-03-12T17:02:02.916-05:002016-03-12T17:02:02.916-05:00So, LSoRC, we're all f*cked. Since nothing of...So, LSoRC, we're all f*cked. Since nothing of what you propose has any prospect of being accomplished in a timeframe relevant to the current, urgent requirement for prompt AGW mitigation, that is. Perfectly clear, thanks. <br /><br />I appreciate your outline of your plan, honestly, and I even support some of your proposals on an "if only" basis. If that's all you've got, though, I'll skip your blog, and go on arguing for a tax-and-dividend on fossil fuel production, with a Border Tax Adjustment on imported goods. Lots of ways to do it wrong, and it has a limited scope at best; but it's at least remotely possible it will happen while I'm still alive. If not, at least the buck won't pass to my offspring, of which I have none.<br /><br />Meanwhile, you might want to consult a medical professional about your spleen.Mal Adaptedhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06123525780458234978noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16612221.post-7526536182205094852016-03-11T22:08:24.353-05:002016-03-11T22:08:24.353-05:00Did I say 'ban guns', Russell? I thought I...Did I say 'ban guns', Russell? I thought I said ban the production of weapons. Anybody with a 3D printer will be able to print up a gun.<br /><br />Packs of wild dogs, Russell. Zombies. You need to stay safe.<br /><br />Reading comprehension, Russell. It helps, trust me.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16612221.post-76105624182517727912016-03-11T21:19:08.187-05:002016-03-11T21:19:08.187-05:00OpenID 8c7793aa-15b2-11e5-898a-67ca934bd1df said.....OpenID 8c7793aa-15b2-11e5-898a-67ca934bd1df said...<br />Sure, blog commenters are holding up the nuclear industry. Who knew.<br /><br />How do you expect to go on staging hold-ups after your blog bans guns?THE CLIMATE WARShttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02578106673226403151noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16612221.post-39583738112429853252016-03-11T15:47:25.203-05:002016-03-11T15:47:25.203-05:00Oh, I'm sorry, I missed one in that list. How ...Oh, I'm sorry, I missed one in that list. How about this.<br /><br />-1) The immediate retroactive legalization of drugs.<br /><br />That should stop yet another unnecessary lost and debilitating war.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16612221.post-58600082060688235672016-03-11T15:20:53.849-05:002016-03-11T15:20:53.849-05:00I guess you missed the part where I AM doing somet...I guess you missed the part where I AM doing something about it, and where I have clearly outlined EXACTLY what you have to do about it. Let me summarize my thoughts and activities for you, since you haven't seen fit to visit my own blog or read my own essays on the subject of human survival on this particular terrestrial planet at this particular time.<br /><br />0) Immediate global ban on weapons production and wildlife hunting.<br /><br />1) Immediate reductions in global population by the taxation of churches, the government institutionalization of science instead of religion, and the widespread promotion of contraceptives, for instance, latex.<br /><br />2) Immediate decarbonization of the global economy through solar, hydro and wind power using advanced quantum physics in the form of atomic and molecular monolayer heterostructures and topological physics.<br /><br />3) Immediate improvements in global energy efficiency through superinsulation and cogeneration processes, and quantum physics.<br /><br />4) Immediate drawdown of atmospheric carbon dioxide using excess energy produced by the increased energy efficiency and reduced costs of the aforementioned improvements alternative energy technologies by quantum molecular heterostructures. Production of carbon based products using the reduced carbon from such processes, such as structural insulation, diamond and graphene films, etc.<br /><br />5) Immediate implementation of reusable cryogenic propulsion and launch vehicles. Immediate rechartering of NASA to space development and colonization and the transfer of all other activities to NOAA.<br /><br />6) Immediate implementation of space development and colonization in order to accelerate the implementation of the aforementioned technologies, not merely idiotic flags and footprints missions to Mars. The immediate transfer of the terrestrial economy to space.<br /><br />I thought I was being REALLY clear on this. Please feel free to point out where I have not performed all due diligence on any of these topics over the last forty years or so. Consult my CV and Bio if necessary. Thanks in advance.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16612221.post-6126012812788330752016-03-11T14:27:01.681-05:002016-03-11T14:27:01.681-05:00LSoRC, if your position is that we're all f*ck...LSoRC, if your position is that we're all f*cked and there's nothing anyone can do but die childless, I'm inclined to agree with you. But what do you gain by endlessly taunting anyone who clings to hope? Is it just that misery loves company?<br /><br />IMHO, the human capacity for optimism has adaptive value, in the strict neo-darwinian sense. Those who choose to become parents must have "faith" that Earth will remain habitable by their descendants (long enough for a habitable replacement planet to be found, at least), even when the odds appear unfavorable. My pseudonym reflects my conviction that evolution is a game in which the only reward for winning is to stay in the game, and that by declining to reproduce, I've opted out of the game. I'm not crazy enough to think I can persuade everyone else of that, though. In any case I'm willing to carry on as though I might be wrong, but YMMV.Mal Adaptedhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06123525780458234978noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16612221.post-64380120979561662262016-03-11T14:00:05.800-05:002016-03-11T14:00:05.800-05:00[Previous comment edited for waffle:]
Misinformat...[Previous comment edited for waffle:]<br /><br />Misinformation should be avoided. BBDhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10687930416706386215noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16612221.post-28294002607434306932016-03-11T13:55:55.453-05:002016-03-11T13:55:55.453-05:00This comment has been removed by the author.BBDhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10687930416706386215noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16612221.post-38819692390339066362016-03-11T11:20:44.272-05:002016-03-11T11:20:44.272-05:00Sure, blog commenters are holding up the nuclear i...Sure, blog commenters are holding up the nuclear industry. Who knew.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16612221.post-8574874946482513892016-03-11T06:08:36.862-05:002016-03-11T06:08:36.862-05:00James Lovejoy
So what has been achieved in China ...James Lovejoy<br /><br /><i>So what has been achieved in China is impossible and did not happen?<br /><br />No. What China has achieved is just what I said. It will take decades to get China's nuclear to even the percent of electricity generation that the US has.</i><br /><br />So what? That isn't a reason for not including nuclear in the bid to decarbonise China. The objective is to get rid of *carbon*, not nuclear. <br /><br /><i>By 2020 China expects nuclear to be 4% of electricity, with the amount (not the percent) of nuclear electricity doubling every 10 years. That sure seems like it's taking decades to ramp up nuclear.</i><br /><br />Actually, that's really not true. From slow beginnings and a <b>much later start</b> than France or the USA (the first Chinese plant (Daya Bay 1 & 2) was only grid connected in 1994) to a major ramp-up post 2000, China reached 26.9GW in 2016. That's a hell of a lot of low-carbon energy on line in just over 20 years with lots more to come. Projected capacity is 58GW by 2020. ~100GW projected by 2030. More than 200GW by 2050, and so on. <br /><br />Remember, the objective is to get rid of carbon as fast as possible. <br /><br />* * *<br /><br />We might ask ourselves why China has elected to use <b>all available low-carbon technolgies</b> instead of renewables only. The answer obviously being that China realises that the fastest pathway to decarbonisation is the one that uses *all* low-carbon technologies. It's also hard evidence that Chinese engineers don't see a way of expanding non-hydro renewables fast enough to compensate for ditching nuclear. After all, renewables are supposed to be so much cheaper and faster to deploy etc... This really does bear thinking about for a moment. <br /><br />We do not now have the luxury of just throwing nuclear away. Scrap the Chinese nuclear build-out and that's 58GW of <b>fossil fuels still burning in 2020</b>. It's brutally simple: anti-nuclear rhetoric = <i>more carbon</i>. <br /><br /><br />BBDhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10687930416706386215noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16612221.post-50346623929088116242016-03-11T02:40:05.672-05:002016-03-11T02:40:05.672-05:00Factory built is new technology in an important wa...Factory built is new technology in an important way. David B. Bensonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02917182411282836875noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16612221.post-91060496093450837142016-03-10T23:20:46.007-05:002016-03-10T23:20:46.007-05:00There is no new technology in what you propose, Be...There is no new technology in what you propose, Benson, you are just turning one big potential disaster into a whole bunch of much easier to create mini disasters, and then placing them everywhere, where any disgruntled new kid on the block can pry open the lid and bork them.<br /><br />That's not going to be pretty in a post apocalyptic lead soaked world filled with religious nuts in possession of a wide variety of prybars.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16612221.post-52784277526345320602016-03-10T23:10:49.910-05:002016-03-10T23:10:49.910-05:00So what has been achieved in China is impossible a...So what has been achieved in China is impossible and did not happen?<br /><br />No. What China has achieved is just what I said. It will take decades to get China's nuclear to even the percent of electricity generation that the US has.<br /><br />By 2020 China expects nuclear to be 4% of electricity, with the amount (not the percent) of nuclear electicity doubling every 10 years. That sure seems like it's taking decades to ramp up nuclear.Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10777273158539366007noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16612221.post-59069304830519728272016-03-10T22:35:02.595-05:002016-03-10T22:35:02.595-05:00http://www.nuscalepower.com/our-technology
gives a...http://www.nuscalepower.com/our-technology<br />gives an overview of this SMR. Nuscale thinks these units will require 40--48 months from start to power-on-grid.<br /><br />No, I doubt that 100% nuclear is the best way to proceed, but 10--20% appears to me to be about the minimum which is acheivable in a low greenhouse gas producing grid.David B. Bensonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02917182411282836875noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16612221.post-3678830358431538652016-03-10T19:36:52.447-05:002016-03-10T19:36:52.447-05:00Fernando - Carbon Free Mountain View is an advocac...Fernando - Carbon Free Mountain View is an advocacy group only, with no power to sell. Hopefully the CCE when set up will buy power locally. I know one of our members has solar on his roof- maybe he's hoping to make the big bucks from that, but I kind of doubt it.<br /><br />Russell - I kind of like indigenous fife-forms.Brianhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09301230860904555513noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16612221.post-16008629444590721562016-03-10T16:25:29.815-05:002016-03-10T16:25:29.815-05:00Hey Graham, how's that boron thing working out...Hey Graham, how's that boron thing working out? Is it borene? Or borogene? One word, my friend. Boron nitride.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16612221.post-14266177069724145432016-03-10T15:54:03.112-05:002016-03-10T15:54:03.112-05:00Seitz: they'll be drummed out of town!
"...Seitz: they'll be drummed out of town!<br /><br />"Their gravy train has been disrupted" — i.e. the speaker can't imagine anyone <i>not</i> being on the take.GRLCowanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03894036301406557803noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16612221.post-80410962041404006322016-03-10T15:37:10.596-05:002016-03-10T15:37:10.596-05:00That's a miracle! The world is saved then. At ...That's a miracle! The world is saved then. At that rate they will be completely nuclear by 2100. Of course, North Korea, South Korea and Japan will be nuclear wastelands, but that's the price for progress!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16612221.post-51226320424362495772016-03-10T15:29:02.731-05:002016-03-10T15:29:02.731-05:00So that's about 30GW additional capacity in fi...So that's about 30GW additional capacity in five years. Took me 3 seconds to work that out...BBDhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10687930416706386215noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16612221.post-13852817789430947022016-03-10T14:19:14.260-05:002016-03-10T14:19:14.260-05:00"As of December 2015, the People's Republ..."As of December 2015, the People's Republic of China has 31 nuclear reactors operating with a capacity of 26.7 GW and 21 under construction with a capacity of 21.1 GW. Additional reactors are planned, providing 58 GW of capacity by 2020. China's National Development and Reform Commission has indicated the intention to raise the percentage of China's electricity produced by nuclear power from the current 2% to 6% by 2020 (compared to 20% in the United States and 74% in France). Nuclear power contributed 2.4% of the total production in 2014 – 123.8 billion kWh. However, rapid nuclear expansion may lead to a shortfall of fuel, equipment, qualified plant workers, and safety inspectors."<br /><br />It would also be helpful if you could do some basic research BBD.<br /><br />That took a whole second.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16612221.post-36081504445459995742016-03-10T14:12:50.733-05:002016-03-10T14:12:50.733-05:00China in particular, and southeast asia in general...China in particular, and southeast asia in general, remains the most polluted and overpopulated regions of the planet. Quite an accomplishment. Such optimism!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16612221.post-81813681477570103742016-03-10T13:51:31.552-05:002016-03-10T13:51:31.552-05:00James Lovejoy
They keep saying we don't have ...James Lovejoy<br /><br /><i>They keep saying we don't have time to do it with renewables, but nuclear takes longer, costs more, and to ramp up nuclear to what we need would take even longer. </i><br /><br />'They' is not me. What I have said - many, many times here - is that the most efficient path to decarbonisation will be the one that uses <i>all</i> low-carbon technologies, deployed as and where appropriate. Trying to push nuclear off the table at this stage is as stupidly short-sighted as trying to push renewables off the table. <br /><br /><i>To ramp up to what we need will take decades.</i><br /><br />So what has been achieved in China is impossible and did not happen?<br /><br />Come on. Less rhetoric, more thought, please. <br /><br />BBDhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10687930416706386215noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16612221.post-60758928378581131952016-03-10T13:01:53.664-05:002016-03-10T13:01:53.664-05:00It doesn't work. That's just their dogma a...It doesn't work. That's just their dogma and doctrine of their cult of negative entropy. They're just trying to recruit new members. Anything to prevent the quantum physics revolution they are unable to stop. The mere thought of an open society where any child's quantum computer can crack their encryption is microseconds is enough to put the fear of nature in them. Their gravy train has been disrupted and they know it.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16612221.post-64372282074962463532016-03-10T12:32:24.433-05:002016-03-10T12:32:24.433-05:00One thing I don't get about the 'we need n...One thing I don't get about the 'we need nuclear to prevent global warming' crowd, They keep saying we don't have time to do it with renewables, but nuclear takes longer, costs more, and to ramp up nuclear to what we need would take even longer. We (both US and worldwide) don't have the trained nuclear crew to come anywhere close to the production rate needed. To ramp up to what we need will take decades. But the push for nuclear is that we need to do something now? How does that even work?Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10777273158539366007noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16612221.post-90801886831861260192016-03-10T12:04:27.438-05:002016-03-10T12:04:27.438-05:00Then tell me what happens during the zombie apocal...Then tell me what happens during the zombie apocalypse when the Russians punch a bunker buster through your containment vessel.<br /><br />Or anyone else for that matter. The design proposed by Mr. Benson is ludicrous, ANYONE would be able to take that out. Some kid down the block. You just don't have a grip on human behavior in a lead saturated world, BBD. These people are now in corporate management.<br /><br />Small fifth generation reactors for Ceres and the asteroid belt. Sure. But for a planet overpopulated with religious nuts worshiping some guy dress up in funny clothes and an old lady with inbred children? Not. Especially not when quantum physics and reusable cryogenic launch vehicles can easily get the job done in no time.<br /><br />Too bad Lamar Smith drank all that leaded water and breathed all that leaded air from a very early age and now gets all the press. Keep proselytizing. You will recruit more members into your church and will enjoy a tax free government subsidy for a long time to come.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com