tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16612221.post2847414477608485536..comments2024-03-19T03:14:04.172-04:00Comments on Rabett Run: More tornadoesEliRabetthttp://www.blogger.com/profile/07957002964638398767noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16612221.post-40173493832601610802014-05-05T16:19:11.273-04:002014-05-05T16:19:11.273-04:00You've misinterpreted what I said. The questio...You've misinterpreted what I said. The question was not whether mobile home deaths were playing a larger role in tornado deaths in the late 90s. That was obvious (an increase from 25% of total deaths to 50% of total deaths in ~20 years. The question was whether the levelling off in death rate that had some hints by the late 90s would be obvious by, say, ~2005. <br /><br />The plot that you show here indicates that the AHS data says there wasn't an increase in mobile homes after the recession, so that question about whether mobile deaths since '08 had increased (which would be a very short record in any event) wasn't all that relevant.<br /><br />As you can read in the 2002 paper, we used census data for housing from 1950-1990, when the US fraction of mobile homes went from <1% to >7% and, in the southeast, reached >13%. The "other surveys" linked show an increase in MHs between 1985 and 2001 of ~60% with a population increase of <20%. That seems like a larger increase than the AHS plot you have shows.Harold Brooksnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16612221.post-36053074418067832882014-05-05T13:08:11.048-04:002014-05-05T13:08:11.048-04:00Ooops.
Sever storm outlook
Pacific Storm Approac...Ooops.<br /><br /><a href="http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/" rel="nofollow">Sever storm outlook</a><br /><br /><a href="http://weather.rap.ucar.edu/satellite/displaySat.php?region=US&itype=wv&size=large&endDate=20130930&endTime=-1&duration=12" rel="nofollow">Pacific Storm Approaching</a>Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16612221.post-35703491249073098072014-05-05T13:05:30.065-04:002014-05-05T13:05:30.065-04:00This thread seems lonely.
So, the next week appea...This thread seems lonely.<br /><br />So, the next week appears to hold another tornado outbreak, this time in the Great Plains ( tornado alley ):<br /><br />http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/<br /><br />The first storm which will invoke these tornadoes is just now apparent off the California coast:<br /><br />http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/<br /><br />As this storm ( and one which will follow ) sweep in, they will bring their high winds aloft, which will give very windy conditions to the SW and when thunderstorms lift this vertical rotor, horizontal tornado rotors will form.<br /><br />Drive by complete.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com